2/10ths of an inch of snow fell at MSP.
Little or no precipitation thru next Monday.
1″+ rain possible the Wednesday before Thanksgiving? That’s what the GFS model is suggesting, the ECMWF (European) keeps us dry with highs in the 50s.
Now Or Never. I just got home from a 2 week Panama Canal cruise with my 82 year old father, my wife and some good friends. It’s something we’ve been talking about for a few years, and so we took the plunge and reserved the 14 day cruise on Princess, leaving from L.A., stopping in Cabo, Nicaragua and Costa Rica before pushing thru the canal on Election Day (which took about 7 hours). It was a once in a lifetime experience, and I wanted to do it now, with my father in relatively good health. My goal is to be able to look back and not have serious regrets (“could have, should have, would have..”). I think I spent $500 on satellite internet WIFI to keep tabs on Sandy and last week’s Nor’easter for our corporate clients – talk about lousy timing. But nobody got sick or injured. With frequent visits to the buffet line I fear I may be showing up on Doppler for some time to come. My thanks to meteorologist Todd Nelson for filling in while I was gone. PS: I highly recommend seeing The Big Ditch. It’s something you should do once in your life, if possible.
1″ of rain the Wednesday before Thanksgiving with showers tapering, possibly ending as flurries Thanksgiving Day? Long-range guidance is hinting at mostly rain from next week’s storm, a cold rain at that. Details below.
Looks Like Snow. As of yesterday 31.5% of the USA had some snow on the ground, according to NOAA, up from 2.1% on October 12, 2012.
November 16, 1931: latest tornado ever observed in Minnesota, east of Maple Plains. Details here.
4 tornadoes reported in Minnesota during the month of November (2 of them were Saturday night). Details below.
Hurricane Sandy And The Disaster Preparedness Economy. The hottest gift for the holidays out east? Emergency generators. I’m not kidding. Forget jewelry and clothing – people want some assurance the power will stay on the next time a wild storm strikes. Here’s an excerpt from The New York Times: ”FOLKS here don’t wish disaster on their fellow Americans. They didn’t pray for Hurricane Sandy to come grinding up the East Coast, tearing lives apart and plunging millions into darkness. But the fact is, disasters are good business in Waukesha. And, lately, there have been a lot of disasters. This Milwaukee suburb, once known for its curative spring waters and, more recently, for being a Republican stronghold in a state that President Obama won on Election Day, happens to be the home of one of the largest makers of residential generators in the country. So when the lights go out in New York — or on the storm-savaged Jersey Shore or in tornado-hit Missouri or wherever — the orders come pouring in like a tidal surge…”
Photo credit above: “These photos provided by the U.S. Geological Survey showing Fire Island and Ocean Beach, N.Y. before and after Superstorm Sandy. The top photo was created May 21, 2009 and bottom photo taken Nov. 5, 2012.” (AP Photo/U.S. Geological Service)
Sandy Victims Face Insurance Nightmare. CNN Money has the story – here’s an excerpt: “When Roman and Marianna Bediner’s Staten Island, N.Y., home was clobbered by Superstorm Sandy they took some comfort in knowing that it was insured. But a few days later, when they learned that their coverage would pay for only a fraction of the $75,000 to $100,000 needed to put the house back together again, that feeling evaporated. During the storm, Roman said the waters of Lower New York Bay rose by close to 11 feet, destroying all the walls, floors and ceilings — not to mention the furniture and carpets — on the first floor of his home. When the area flooded, the sewers backed up, filling the Bediners’ ground floor with water that contained raw sewage and contaminating the home…”
Photo credit above: “These photos provided by the U.S. Geological Survey show Seaside Heights, N.J. before and after Superstorm Sandy. The top photo was created May 21, 2009 and bottom photo taken Nov. 5, 2012.” (AP Photo/U.S. Geological Service)
Hurricane Sandy Damage Amplified By Breakneck Development Of Coast. Some unpleasant trends are converging. At the same time storms are becoming more intense (and sea level is rising, by at least a foot since 1900 in the New York City area) coastal development has exploded. Who doesn’t want to live near the water? Minnesota lakes are quite tame compared to what can nappen when a hurricane storm surge coincides with high tide and a full moon. More from Huffington Post: “…Given the size and power of the storm, much of the damage from the surge was inevitable. But perhaps not all. Some of the damage along low-lying coastal areas was the result of years of poor land-use decisions and the more immediate neglect of emergency preparations as Sandy gathered force, according to experts and a review of government data and independent studies. Authorities in New York and New Jersey simply allowed heavy development of at-risk coastal areas to continue largely unabated in recent decades, even as the potential for a massive storm surge in the region became increasingly clear. In the end, a pell-mell, decades-long rush to throw up housing and businesses along fragile and vulnerable coastlines trumped commonsense concerns about the wisdom of placing hundreds of thousands of closely huddled people in the path of potential cataclysms…”
Photo credit above: “These photos provided by the U.S. Geological Survey show Mantoloking, N.J. before and after Superstorm Sandy. The top photo was created May 21, 2009 and bottom photo taken Nov. 5, 2012.” (AP Photo/US Geological Service)
“Ask Paul”. Weather-related Q&A:
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
630 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
1058 PM TORNADO 1 SW BURNSVILLE 44.75N 93.30W
11/10/2012 F0 DAKOTA MN NWS STORM SURVEY
AN EF0 TORNADO SPUN UP JUST NORTHEAST OF THE INTERSECTION
OF COUNTY ROAD 5 AND MCANDREWS RD AND TRACKED NORTHEAST
TO JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF BURNSVILLE PKWY
AND HWY 11. NUMEROUS TREE AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN
ALONG THE PATH...SOME FELL ON HOUSES. A STOP SIGN WAS
BENT ALL THE WAY TO THE GROUND AND A GRILL LID WAS FLOWN
ABOUT 200 YDS NEAR NICOLLET JR HIGH SCHOOL. MAXIMUM WIND
SPEEDS WERE 80 MPH.
1105 PM TORNADO 2 NNW EAGAN 44.85N 93.18W
11/10/2012 F0 DAKOTA MN NWS STORM SURVEY
A BRIEF EF0 TORNADO SPUN UP NEAR SKYLINE DRIVE EAST OF
HWY 13 AND TRACKED NNE TO THE LOST SPUR GOLF COURSE JUST
SOUTH OF I-494. NUMEROUS TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND
EXHIBITED A CONVERGENT DAMAGE PATTERN. SOME TREES FELL
ONTO HOUSES AND POWER LINES. OTHERWISE...LITTLE STRUCTUAL
DAMAGE. ESTIMATED WINDS 75 MPH.
* I expect a few days at or just above 50 next week in the Twin Cities. Not exactly Indian Summer…but better.
** photo of bus accident on I-35 Monday morning courtesy of MnDOT. More details on the icy start to Veterans Day:
- Windswept snow made for dicey driving conditions Monday morning around the Twin Cities area, including on a Minneapolis interstate, where a Metro Transit bus spun out late in the rush hour.
- The Route 114 bus had blocked all but the far left lane of southbound Interstate 35W between 26th and Lake streets, until its removal about 9:10, transit spokesman John Siqveland said. No injuries were reported. Only the driver was aboard the articulated bus.
- The bus jammed up traffic for about an hour.
- Fortunately for commuters, Monday is a holiday for many government workers in observance of Veterans Day. That means less traffic on the slick freeways and main thoroughfares. Even so, the bus mishap was one of several for motorists, who are getting their first reminder that wintry weather is drawing near.
Lance Armstrong And Superstorm Sandy Were Both Doped. Here’s an excerpt of an article that caught my eye from scholarsandrogues.com: ”If you’re a cycling enthusiast, you’re no doubt aware that Lance Armstrong was recently stripped of all of his Tour de France wins because the U.S. Anti-Doping Agency found evidence of doping. While there are some questions that remain unanswered in the case and there are certainly reasonable criticisms that can be levied against the USADA’s investigation, the scientific evidence appears to be overwhelming. But I’m not here to talk about Lance Armstrong. Instead, there’s another example where the scientific evidence of doping is overwhelming even though there are a few reasonable criticisms and a few unanswered questions – the doping of Superstorm Sandy by the performance enhancer known as industrial climate disruption (aka global warming or climate change)…”
New Report Highlights Link Between Climate Change, National Security. Voice of America has the story; here’s an excerpt: ”The U.S. National Research Council released a report Friday on the link between global climate change and national security. The scientific study details how global warming is putting new social and political stresses on societies around the world and how the United States and other counties can anticipate and respond to these climate-driven security risks. The report by the congressionally-chartered research group begins with an assertion that global warming is real, and that the mainstream scientific community believes that heat-trapping gases such as carbon dioxide and methane are being added to the atmosphere faster today than they were before the rise of human societies. And it says the consequences of climate change — including rising sea levels, more frequent and severe floods, droughts, forest fires, and insect infestations — present security threats similar to and in many cases greater than those posed by terrorist attacks….”