Take a look at the storms that exploded PM Sunday across central and northeast MN. These storms were responsible for extremely large hail and even tornadoes.
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Duluth MN
503 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016
...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR JUNE 19TH 2016 EVENT...
.TORNADO NEAR JACOBSON, MN
Rating: EF-1 - Preliminary
Path length /Statute/: 8 miles
Path width /Maximum/: A quarter mile
Start date: June 19, 2016
Start time: 6:49 PM CDT
Start location: 2 miles northeast Jacobson
End date: June 19, 2016
End time: 6:59 PM CDT
End location: 2 miles east southeast of Wawina
.WIND DAMAGE CROW WING COUNTY...POSSIBLE TORNADO.
An NWS Storm Survey is still ongoing. Damage is widespread and varied in nature
across southern Cass, Crow Wing, and southern Aitkin county. Information will be
updated as it becomes available.
EF Rating table
EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph
EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph
EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph
EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph
EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph
The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in
NWS Storm Data.
– The last time Phoenix hit 120 or higher was back on July 28, 1995 when the thermometer hit 121.
– Whether the temperature touches 120 or not, record highs are likely. The current record high each day between Saturday and Tuesday is 115.
– The all-time record in Tucson history is 117 set back on June 26, 1990.
– Record highs: 112 Tuesday.
– The warmest high ever in Las Vegas history is 117 reached three times in their history. The most recent occurrence was back on June 30, 2013.
– Our forecast has Las Vegas reaching 114 on Tuesday.
– Record high: 111 Tuesday.
Here’s a look at rainfall from AM June 13th to AM June 18th. Note that there were several locations that saw 1″ to 2″+ amounts with some spots even seeing 3″ to 4″+. Here’s an excerpt from Mark Seeley’s Weather Talk on the heavy rains last week.
All of the water vapor in the atmosphere served as fuel for thunderstorms, which became widespread across the state over June 11-14. Over those 4 days many areas received from 2-4 inches of rain. A few highly localized amounts were even greater causing some short-lived flooding concerns. You can read more about the distribution of these storms at the Minnesota StateClimatology Office web site.
As a result of the rainy week, many climate stations are already reporting total monthly rainfall that exceeds the June normal. This continues a recent climate trend for June, as 15 of the most recent Junes have been normal or wetter than normal on a statewide basis.
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas.
Whether you like it or not, daylight hours will begin dwindling today. We are post summer solstice, so it’ll be a steady decline in the daylight category over the next 6 months. However, our average high and low temperature will continue to warm over the next 4 weeks due to a process known as “Seasonal Lag”.
It is similar to the daily occurrence when daytime highs typically occur after peak solar radiation (midday) and overnight lows typically occur just after sunrise. Because our atmosphere is a fluid, it takes a little longer to warm and cool, so these “lags” not only happen on a daily basis, but also on a seasonal basis.
Temperatures over the next few days will hover around average with spotty shower and thunderstorm chances returning late tonight into Wednesday. The extended forecast suggests another bubble of heat arriving this weekend with some spots nearing 90 degrees.
By the way, Sunday’s high of 93 degrees tied the warmest high this year! It was the 4th 90+ of the year and was also the 6th tornado day of 2016.
Average Low: 61F (Record: 39F set in 1992)
*Daylight LOST since Summer Solstice (June 20th): ~1second
1.8 Days After Full (Strawberry) Moon
Severe Threat Tuesday
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AREA EASTWARD TO THE DELMARVA ON TUESDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS ARE ALSO FORECAST ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST MONTANA AND INTO
PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS. FINALLY...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY
DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM FAR EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO
NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS. WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS IN
A BROAD/W-E UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN U.S. WILL LIKELY
BE SUPPRESSED SWD THIS PERIOD...AS TWO TROUGHS IN THE FASTER/MORE
ACTIVE WLYS ADVANCE EWD. THE FIRST -- A COMPACT SHORT-WAVE FEATURE
-- IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS MT AND ADJACENT SRN
CANADA...REACHING THE NRN PLAINS LATE. THE SECOND TROUGH -- A MUCH
LARGER SYSTEM CENTERED OVER ONTARIO AND QUEBEC -- IS PROGGED TO
EXPAND GRADUALLY SWD ACROSS THE NERN U.S. WITH TIME...WITH CYCLONIC
FLOW SURROUNDING THE TROUGH FORECAST TO ENCOMPASS MUCH OF THE U.S. E
OF THE MS VALLEY.
AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND AND EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF THE COAST OVERNIGHT.
MEANWHILE...THE BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO SAG MORE SLOWLY SWD ACROSS
SRN PA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO EARLY EVENING. TRAILING
PORTIONS OF THIS FRONT...EXTENDING WWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH AND MID
MS VALLEYS AND THEN NWWD ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO ERN MT...IS FORECAST
TO BEGIN SHIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE MO VALLEY REGION AS A WARM FRONT
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS ARC-SHAPED
FRONT WILL FOCUS THE MAIN BAND OF CONVECTIVE/SEVERE RISK ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND ERN U.S. THIS PERIOD.
SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND...A FEW TORNADOES
AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY
AND OVERNIGHT ON WEDNESDAY.
A BROAD BELT OF STRONG NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NRN
STATES...WITH MAIN LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NERN STATES AND UPPER
HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SRN PLAINS. WITHIN THIS NWLY FLOW REGIME WILL
BE MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WHICH ARE LIKELY TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH
CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SEWD TOWARD THE
OH VALLEY. A SFC LOW WILL MOVE FROM NEBRASKA WED MORNING INTO IA BY
00Z...WITH A WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
TOWARD SRN LAKE MICHIGAN. AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
PRESENT TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS...WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS POSSIBLY
SUPPORTING A CORRIDOR OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS...THE CENTROID OF
WHICH MAY SHIFT IN LATER OUTLOOKS AS PREDICTABILITY CHANGES.
...UPPER MS VALLEY SEWD TOWARD THE OH VALLEY...
MODELS SHOW A COMPLEX OF STORMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH HAIL AND
WIND...ONGOING NEAR THE WARM FRONT ROUGHLY FROM IA INTO SRN WI AND
NRN IL WED MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION.
COINCIDENT WITH THESE STORMS IS ALSO A SMALL MIDLEVEL SPEED
MAX/JETLET. AS SUCH...THIS POTENTIAL SYSTEM COULD PERSIST FOR MUCH
OF THE DAY. BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME MORE
UNSTABLE...WITH MUCAPE TO AROUND 3000 J/KG LIKELY...WITH ANOTHER
SPEED MAX ALOFT POSSIBLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NW FLOW. RENEWED
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR THE SFC LOW OVER IA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY TRACK ALONG ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLY
CONVECTION. THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT AS WELL AS IMPRESSIVE 850 MB
JET...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG MEAN WIND SPEEDS...ALL POINT TOWARD A
POSSIBLE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT IN AND CLOSE TO THE ENHANCED
RISK AREA. INITIALLY...SUPERCELLS MAY BE PRESENT PRIOR TO STORM
MERGERS...WITH TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL.
ON THU/D4...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY AN ONGOING MCS...MAY
EXIST ACROSS OH OR WV THU MORNING...WITH EXACT LOCATION DEPENDING ON
THE EVOLUTION OF STORMS ON THE PREVIOUS DAY. DESPITE
UNCERTAINTY...STRONG WLY FLOW WILL BRING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS INTO THE REGION AND TO THE ATLANTIC COAST BY MIDDAY. STRONG
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH A SFC LOW AND COOLING ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A
CONTINUATION OF ANY ONGOING ACTIVITY...AND POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT
ESPECIALLY ON SWRN FRINGE WHERE ACCESS TO A MORE PRISTINE AIR MASS
IS MOST LIKELY. STRONG MEAN WIND FIELDS AND FAVORABLE LIFT WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING WINDS. WILL INTRODUCE A BROAD 15% SLIGHT RISK
AREA NOW THAT MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SFC LOW TRACK.
ON FRI/D5...ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES...WITH UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING EWD TOWARD THE UPPER MS
VALLEY. MAINLY NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY COINCIDENT WITH
STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A BETTER SEVERE
THREAT MAY EXIST INTO SAT/D6 ACROSS PARTS OF THE MO/UPPER MS VALLEY
REGION AS THE LOW AND COLD FRONT MATURE...AND A LESSER SEVERE THREAT
THE NEXT DAY INTO THE OH VALLEY AREA. HOWEVER...PREDICTABILITY IS
CURRENTLY LOW FOR THIS SYSTEM.
Geremy Stovall, who took the footage on his cell phone, sent the video in to WWL-TV.
He said it happened on the south shore near the University of New Orleans just before noon.
Although Stovall was directly in the path of the spout, he said no one was injured.
Although waterspouts are generally weaker than tornados, they can be dangerous to boaters because of high winds.
See the full video from WWLTV.com HERE:
“When British voters go to the polls Thursday to decide whether or not to withdraw from the European Union they may also be determining the fate of their country’s climate legacy and its burgeoning green technology industry. That’s because if the United Kingdom exits the European Union following next week’s referendum it will go from being a dominant voice and second-largest economy in the 28-nation compact to being an outsider. As such, it will have to negotiate with Brussels for access to the European Union’s consumer and energy markets—a situation that opponents say will give the United Kingdom less power over its own destiny than it currently has. “As Obama told them very clearly, you’re going to be a midsized economy in the middle of the Atlantic, and you’re not going to have the leverage you had as the 28 when you’re a one,” said Michelle Egan of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. “And I don’t think they realize that the other 27 have no reason to be nice in the negotiation.””
Read more from ScientificAmerican.com HERE:
If the United Kingdom exits the European Union following next week’s referendum it will go from being a dominant voice and second-largest economy in the 28-nation compact to being an outsider. Credit: Michael Tubi/Corbis via Getty Images
_________________________________________“Shattered records show climate change is an emergency today, scientists warn”
“Unprecedented temperature levels mean more heatwaves, flooding, wildfires and hurricanes as experts say global warming is here and affecting us now May was the 13th month in a row to break temperature records according tofigures published this week that are the latest in 2016’s string of incredible climate records which scientists have described as a bombshell and an emergency. The series of smashed global records, particularly the extraordinary heat in February and March, has provoked a stunned reaction from climate scientists, who are warning that climate change has reached unprecedented levels and is no longer only a threat for the future. Alongside the soaring temperatures, other records have tumbled around the world, from vanishing Arctic sea ice to a searing drought in India and the vast bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef. The UK has experienced record flooding that has devastated communities across the country and scientists predict that the flash floods seen by parts of the country in recent days will increase in future.”
Read more from TheGuardian.com HERE:
Flooding in Straiton, Scotland, in December. Scientists say it will increase in future. Photograph: Danny Lawson/PA
_________________________________________“12,000 Years Ago, Humans and Climate Change Made a Deadly Team”
“Climate change, habitat destruction, extinctions — the Earth has seen it all before, thousands of years ago. And humans may have been partly to blame for many of those changes in nature, too. A new study published Friday in Science Advances shows that the arrival of humans in Patagonia, combined with a changing climate, led to the extinction of many species of megafauna about 12,000 years ago in the southern portion of what is now South America. The research offers a significant moment in the natural history of the continent: a definitive date of the mass extinction of megafauna — large or giant animals, like mammoths and giant sloths — in this part of the world. It also suggests a potential relationship between threatened species and climate change in our own time. The authors of the study from the University of Adelaide in Australia, with help from scientists from South America and elsewhere, found that the presence of humans in Patagonia was not enough to drive extinction, but the one-two punch of humans and a warmer climate led to the collapse of many species.”
Read more from NYTimes.com HERE:
“An illustration from the 19th century of a giant ground sloth, which was among the many megafaunal species that went extinct in Patagonia during a rapid warming phase that followed the Antarctic Cold Reversal. Researchers found that the combination of human encroachment with the warming contributed to the extinctions. CreditScience Source”